About the research
MacroVision is independent, open research that examines one question: if automation and AI replace a large share of work, will households that have lost their livelihood be able to maintain their purchasing power, and under what conditions?
The research question
The research assumes a scenario of 20% unemployment caused by automation, and examines whether falling prices and government transfers can maintain the consumption of those pushed out of work. It also examines how debt, asset ownership, profit taxation and public financing change the answer. 20% unemployment is a scenario assumption, not a forecast.
How we work
- Three types of claims, always kept separate. Every publication distinguishes between a scenario assumption, a simulation result and an empirical finding from real data.
- Limitations in the open. Every finding comes with its limitations, and when the data are not sufficient to answer, we say so.
- Reproducibility. Code, processed data and sources are stored together with file hashes, and research steps are accompanied by automated tests.
- No tuning toward a result. Estimates that do not meet the identification requirements are not passed on to the model, even when they would have strengthened the story.
- Privacy. Readership measurement on the site is aggregate only, with no tracking cookies and no personal identifiers.
What we have found so far
- Even when benefits protect them, those who lost their jobs fall behind: simulation
- Is AI already eliminating jobs?: empirical finding from Europe
- AI and work tracker · How exposed is my occupation to AI?
- The full research lab
Who is behind the research
Ido Parnas
Independent researcher, no institutional affiliation
An economist with about 20 years of experience in economics, finance and risk management. He currently heads risk, compliance and privacy at a fintech credit company. Before that he was a strategic and financial adviser to startups, and at Kidum Group he served as CFO and COO, and earlier as the company economist. He began his career as a marketing analyst at Bezeq.
He believes that the combination of artificial intelligence and robotics will reshape the economy in the coming decades on an unprecedented scale. The research sets out to examine in advance the question this change raises: what will happen to the purchasing power of those whose work is replaced.
Education: BA in Economics, College of Management · MA in Law, Bar-Ilan University · MBA in Integrative Management, Bar-Ilan University
How to cite
Parnas, I. (2026). MacroVision: Automation, transfers and household purchasing power. https://macrovisionresearch.com/about.html